中国工业经济运行秋季报告.2017

摘要：2017年1—8月，中国工业呈现出趋稳向好的总体特征。工业行业结构继续呈现高端迈进态势，中部地区工业继续领跑，东北地区工业明显改善，京津冀地区工业增速走势分化，工业投资增速小幅回升，结构持续优化，工业出口增速为2012年以来最好水平，工业企业利润保持较高增速。但是中国工业经济运行中仍存在不少问题，当前突出表现为工业成本攀升。模型预测结果显示，2017年规模以上工业增加值增速为6.0%—6.5%的概率很大。当前形势下，要实质性推进供给侧结构性改革，提高工业生产要素质量和创新工业生产要素资源配置机制，推动工业增长方式从劳动力和物质要素总量投入驱动主导转向知识和技能等创新要素驱动主导。Abstract: From January to August of 2017,the general characteristic of Chinese industrial economy was“stabilized for the better”.The industrial structure continued to show the high-grade trend,the central region was the pace setter and the northeast region's industrial growth was significantly improved,Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional industrial growth trend became divided inside,industrial investment growth picked up slightly and the investment structure continued to optimize,industrial export growth was the best level since 2012,profits of industrial enterprises maintained a high growth rate,however,there are still many problems in China's economic operation,which showed industrial costs climbed.According to the results of model prediction,in 2017,the industrial added value growth rate above a designated scale would fell to 6.0% -6.5%.Under the current situation,we must substantially push forward the structural reform of the supply side,improve the quality of industrial production factors,and innovate the resource allocation mechanism of industrial production factors,promote the industrial growth pattern from the total input of labor and material factors driven to knowledge and skills and other innovative elements driven dominance.

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